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At 02:30 (GMT+2), Australian Q4 data on the consumer price index will be released. It is the main indicator of inflation in the country, which determines the change in the level of retail prices for a certain “basket” of goods and services: food, transportation, utilities, health care and so on. It has a significant impact on monetary policy decisions. It is expected that the consumer price index on an annualized basis will remain at the same level of 1.7%, and on a monthly basis will grow from 0.5% to 0.6%. Realization of the forecast may support the Australian dollar.
A weekly report on the volume of oil reserves in the USA from API is due at 23:30 (GMT+2). The figure shows how much oil and refined products are available in storage. The reduction in reserves traditionally leads to an increase in oil quotes, and an increase in the indicator leads to a decrease in prices for “black gold”. Last week, US oil inventories rose by 1,600 million barrels. If this trend persists, it may put pressure on oil prices.
Today, the US currency has an ambiguous dynamics with the yen and is strengthening against the euro and the pound. Investors continue to monitor the situation with coronavirus in China. Due to the increase in the number of diseased, the authorities urged US citizens to cancel trips to China, and President Donald Trump offered to provide the PRC with any necessary assistance.
January Consumer Confidence index by Conference Board will be released in the USA at 17:00 (GMT+2). It is based on a survey of 5000 American households and takes into account their vision of the current and future economic situation. This is a leading indicator that predicts consumer spending that is part of economic activity. High rates indicate consumer optimism. The index is expected to grow from 126.5 to 128.0 points. If the forecast proves to be true, this may render support to the US currency.